10 Spot Keno Strategy
Keno can be very versatile in terms of pay table and house edge. Also, it depends largely on the maximum number of spots that players can choose and attempt to 'hit' or 'catch'. It is typically limited to 10, 12 or 15 numbers (spots), but it can also be 20 numbers right away. One thing is always the same, there are 20 winning numbers drawn out of the total 80. Let us put the most typical 10-Spot Keno variation under the microscope and follow some concrete calculations.
This web page is a follow-up to the general Keno rules. Of course you can find there some interesting calculations as well. This time we pick up the most typical Keno variation with 10 spots. Thus the top prize is paid out if a player manages to guess 10 numbers out of the 20 numbers drawn.
Having chosen a Ten Spot Keno game, we can now calculate all the true odds and probabilities that are valid for this type of game. We will also use some model or possible pay table, which is the last element to enable us calculate the house edge (based on this model pay table). As the pay tables vary from casino to casino, so does the house edge.
A Model Paytable
Let us start with the pay table. Table 1 shows the payout ratios (the multiples) for all combinations of spots and successful hits. If you e.g. tried to catch 10 numbers and succeeded to hit them all, you would receive $200,000 for a $1 ticket. If you were less successful and hit 'only' 9 of 10, the win would be $10,000 and so on. You can see that if you attempted to hit 10 to 6 numbers and hit no number, your bet would be returned.
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The color key is simple. The payouts in green are winning, those in bright red are losing. The same logic is used for the remaining tables related to probability, odds and house edge as well.
Table 1 – A model 10-spot Keno pay table
Note: The model pay table was actually borrowed from the Czech lottery game Šťastných 10 (meaning 'Lucky 10' in English), which is virtually a ten spot Keno game that fits perfectly for our needs. The calculations of odds and probabilities below are 100% valid for any ten spot Keno game. The model pay table will also be used demonstrate the calculation of the house edge (see Table 4, but let us not skip over).
Ten Spot Keno Probabilities & Odds
The probabilities for all combinations of spots and hits are shown at the Table 2. It is a very valuable source of information. First of all, as always, the total of probabilities in a column must equal one (or 100% if you like). Then you can see, which outcomes are the most probable. For instance if you chose to catch 10 numbers, the most probable outcome would be hitting 2 numbers out of 10 (0.2953
or 29.53%
to be exact).
You can also sum up the green values in a column to arrive at a winning (or actually 'not losing' probability, because if you manage to catch zero numbers your bet will only be returned), in case of the 10-spot ticket it is 0.1105
or 11.05%
. Now you can sum up the red values or deduct the winning probability from 1 or 100% and you get the probability to lose 0.8895
or 88.95%
.
10 Spot Keno Strategy How To Play
Table 2 – Ten spot Keno probabilities
For an exhibit we can calculate the probability of the least probable outcome, that is to catch all 10 numbers out of 10 (please note that for space purposes there are only 7 digits displayed in the Table 2). We already know that probability can be defined as the number of positive possibilities (the nominator) divided the total number of possibilities (the denominator).
It is easier to determine all possibilities (combinations) – they are the same for all-spot Keno games. We may use the Excel function =COMBIN(80,20)
and get the result of 3,535,316,142,212,180,000
combinations (the denominator). To calculate the number of all winning possibilities is a bit harder as we have to catch 10 numbers out of 10, but there are 20 winning numbers drawn out of 80. Thus, with the use of Excel, the nominator is the following: =COMBIN(10,10)*COMBIN(80-10,20-10) = 396,704,524,216
.
Now we can put it together and calculate the probability to get the top prize in ten spot Keno. That is so close to zero that it is almost impossible:
396,704,524,216 ÷ 3,535,316,142,212,180,000 = 0.000000112211895134156 or 0.0000112211895134156%
.
You may think that the standalone probabilities in the Table 2 are not enough to decide whether they are that good or that bad. And you would be right. They need to be matched with the payouts. That is the only fair way to assess it and that is actually how the house edge is being calculated. But let us not jump forward.
First we can have a look at Table 3, the odds. They are just another and perhaps better-arranged presentation of the probabilities (the relation is: Odds = One divided Probability).
Table 3 – Ten spot Keno odds or the probability in the format '1 in ...'
10-Spot Keno House Edge
The calculation of house edge in ten spot Keno is simpler as it seems. We will determine it based on the concept of expected value. We will take the net payouts from the Table 4 and the probabilities from the Table 2. The procedure to arrive at the expected outcome is as follows: the net payouts are simply multiplied (weighted) by the probabilities and added up.
Table 4 – Ten spot Keno net payouts (considering the $1 invested in the game)
Let us take e.g. a ten spot column as an example and suppose we bet a dollar. We may win $199,999
netto with the probability 0.000000112211895134156
, so the partial expected outcome is 199,999 × 0.000000112211895134156 = approx. 0.0224
(see the coordinates 10×10 in the Table 5). Now we slide a row down, that is to hitting 9 out of 10 and the net win $9,999
with the probability 0.0000061
and the next partial expected outcome is approx. 0.0612
(due to rounding) and so on. Then we add up all partial results and get the value –0.5016
or –50.16%
. That is quite high compared to Craps for instance (<2%).
Table 5 – Ten spot Keno house edge
The expected outcome for a player is negative. It is no surprise as it is the essence of all gambling and lottery games. House gets what a player loses—that is where the house edge comes from. Thus if you played 10 spot Keno with this pay table (Table 1), then, in the long run, you would likely lose about 50 cents per each dollar wagered in the game.
It is needed to highlight, however, that the expected value is related to the long-term period and that it does not mean that you could not be lucky enough to win the top prize with your first Keno ticket. It is just a lottery. You mostly lose, but if you win it is usually worth it.
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Keno game is one of the most popular games to be played by Canadians. Almost all the states of Canada offer Keno lottery games be it Atlantic Keno, Daily Keno OLG, WCLC Keno, and others. Most of the real land casinos of Canada also offer Keno games like the Casino de Montreal, Casino Niagara, and more of the high rated real Canadian casinos. Here are some real Keno game secrets for you.
While playing Keno lottery games many people use strategies to pick the winning numbers and beat the odds but as Keno is a game of chance people still want to find out the ways and means to hit the right winning numbers.
Here are the six keno game secrets that most of the players use to try and win the game of Keno and let’s explore them and find whether these magic tricks work or not for a win-win situation in the keno board.
#1. Betting on a 10/10 in Keno is useless
This hidden Keno game secrets is true because 10/10 is so uncommon. Nevertheless, it doesn’t mean you cannot give it a try. Because if you came to win thanks to this combination, all your doubts will be melted on this betting 10/10 secret, give a try and see.
#2. Trying out 4/4 keno cards give you small and frequent wins
This Keno game secret works best if you also as a player play the game of Keno for a short period. Some players are used to buy about twenty keno cards with four numbers each at the beginning of the draws. But in the long run, this strategy is inefficient because one day or another, they will end up losing the small gains that they succeeded in amassing by chance.
#3. The 6/6 keno cards are the players choice
Most players choose 6/6 cards because they trust the mathematical calculations on odds. They say that the likelihood to win using a 6/6 card is one out of 3383, which still represents a lot more than the odds associated with a 7/7 card. By mean of comparison, the probabilities to win with such cards are only one out of 15464! The only thing that they do not tell you is that if you decide to play at random, you could fairly earn money only once out of 3833 times. But this means that when playing a bit more smartly than average, these figures wouldn’t even be worth a penny.
#4. Keno card that is most profitable is 7/7
According to Keno experts, the one card all players should choose is the 7/7 provided you can use it adequately thanks to a good strategy. Many game experts compare video keno with video poker games and look at the odds of hitting versus the payout of hitting. Remember in video poker that you need to be betting 5 credits to get the best payout on the royal flush and for the odds of hitting going 7 for 7 has some pretty similar odds (about 1 in 41,000 chance) but we’re betting 5 quarters in video poker pays 4000 credits back, betting 5 quarters in video keno and hitting 7/7 usually pays up around 35,000 credits back ($8750)
That’s from the odds perspective. If you want to compare via the payout side of things hitting 5/5 usually pays around 800 credits, so betting 5 credits at a time will payout 4,000 credits, which is the same payout for hitting a royal flush in video poker, except the odds of hitting 5/5 is much lower at a 1 in 1550 chance – so you would hit that a lot more frequently than you would a royal flush (about 25 times more often). It pays to have an edge by knowing profitable patterns to 4 card keno.
#5. Play for fun and maintain a balance
For many of you, this might not be good advice but this can be one of the Keno game secrets revealed many winners. Keno winners who played for fun picking numbers on the ticket, and then feeling the suspense waiting for the winning numbers to be drawn were surprised that they won the game. They decided how many numbers to select on keno ticket as the more you do so you could win for the more numbers get a match to win something.
Many players go by the Chinese principle of Yin Yang making the balance of opposites. Apply the principle when selecting numbers on your keno ticket by selecting an even amount of numbers from the ticket’s top and bottom halves.
#6. Keno’s Lucky Eleven
A quick way to win at keno is to select 11 numbers on your ticket. This is one of the Keno game secrets. The reason for this is that a ticket with between seven and 11 numbers needs at least three matches to break even.
You have better odds of getting three matches out of 11 numbers than you do out of seven numbers, and the potential payouts from an 11-number selection are higher than from seven numbers.
Remember that many players talk of hot, cold, and repeating numbers and many players go to great lengths to study comprehensive lists of numbers that were drawn over time, and try to determine patterns based on these lists. The conclusions they reach are pretty much the same but their actions differ dramatically, as some prefer to play the hot numbers, while others assume that the cold ones are due. Avoiding or hunting specific numbers doesn’t increase the chances to win, and regardless of past events all of the numbers have the same chance of being drawn.
Many even believe that buying keno from a lucky outlet or retail store has more chances for them to turn into winners. But the best-known secret among all of the above finally is to play the game for entertainment, the way you want to with your hit strategy and leave the rest to your destiny.
Other Tips to Win Keno
There are some other tips also that you can follow to win Keno or at least increase the chance of winning the game:
1. Find the best casino
Due to the pay-out percentages being very high, Keno is a much more profitable game to play online than in a real-life casino. However, you need to shop around to find the best casino for you and this does not mean that all web casinos are equal. We, at Playkenocanada, provide you with all the information you require to find the best no deposit Micrograming casinos.
2. Try out a few free games
Many sites will let you play for free which is a good start even if you did play Keno before. This will help you get on the right foot with the different pace of playing on the web as well as the online interface before you start putting money on the casino for real.
3. Do not pick more than six numbers and play online keno for real money
Best 5 Spot Keno Numbers
New players often believe this myth of getting better chances of winning of they pick more numbers. However, it is the polar opposite f that. Your odds decrease when you pick more numbers. However, the bigger is the potential jackpot, the more numbers you cover. Keeping this in mind, picking six numbers shows a good balance and control over the game.
4. Try a multi-race card
Several Microgaming sites utilize a multi-race card feature. This feature allows you to select numbers only once and then can be repeated along with the game as you play. This saves the issue of re-entering on every turn if you have some lucky numbers in your life.
5. Keno is random, but you don’t have to be
You need to be sane to be consistent if you are planning on playing your lucky numbers. We have, however, also heard of the rumors coming from the players that due to RNG their lucky numbers never popped up more than once and hence they decided to play a different sequence from then.
Keno can be one of the most unpredictable games online and hence, make sure to find a site that has no deposit Microgaming. You can try this at NetBet.