Jets Vs Vikings Prediction
After winning back-to-back games against potential playoff teams, the Jets head to New England to finish up a disappointing 2020 season against the Patriots.
New York is coming off a 23-16 takedown of the Browns, while the Patriots were dismantled by the Bills, 38-9, on Monday Night Football. Even with that, New England is favored going into Week 17’s matchup.
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The Patriots are favored by 4.5 points in Week 17, according to BetMGM.
The total over/under for Sunday’s game is set at 42.5 points with the Jets holding at -115 and the Patriots holding at -105. New York possesses a money line of +170 at a 4.5-point disadvantage. Against the spread, both teams hold the same line at -110.
When the two teams met in Week 9, the Patriots erased a 10-point deficit late in the fourth quarter to pull off a walk-off 30-27 victory. The Jets will look to secure their first divisional win of the season come Sunday.
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This game is a matchup between two teams with surprising records. Coming into the season, most people thought that the Vikings would be the cream of the crop in the NFC. Unfortunately, that’s not the case. Furthermore, most pundits thought the Jets would have one of the worst records in the NFL. That’s also not the case. With that said, will Minnesota win as expected or will New York continue to defy the odds and pull off the upset at home? Kickoff inside MetLife Stadium is at 1 PM ET.
Vikings vs Jets Live Odds and Betting History
The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
Betting Data | Minnesota Vikings | New York Jets |
---|---|---|
Current S/U record | 3-2-1 | 3-3 |
2018 Home | 2-1 | 2-1 |
2018 Away | 1-1-1 | 1-2 |
2018 ATS | 2-2-2 | 3-3 |
2018 ATS Home | 1-1-1 | 2-1 |
2018 ATS Away | 1-1-1 | 1-2 |
2018 O/U | 3-3 | 4-2 |
2018 O/U Home | 1-2 | 2-1 |
2018 O/U Away | 2-1 | 2-1 |
Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets NFL Game Preview
Sunday’s game marks the 11th time these two franchises have played against each other. The Jets have a stranglehold on this series as they’re 8-2 all-time against Minnesota. The Vikings did win the last time these two teams played, which was in 2014.
The Vikings (3-2-1) played the Cardinals last weekend and didn’t blow them out as many pundits and oddsmakers had predicted. In fact, the Cardinals hung tough for 3+ quarters before the Vikings pulled away late. This weekend, Minnesota plays another rookie QB, but one who has plenty of weapons and a solid defense backing him up.
The Jets (3-3) have surprised many with their .500 record. Sunday’s contest will be their 3rd home game in a row and the team looks for their 3rd win in a row. Over the last two weeks, at home, the Jets have won by a combined score of 76 to 50 and have looked impressive against the Colts and the Broncos. Can they keep that momentum going against a solid Vikings team?
Just about all of the online betting sites opened the line with the Vikings favored by 3 points. A few sportsbooks had a slight movement up to 3.5 points. However, the majority of sportsbooks currently have the Vikings as a field goal favorite over the Jets. The Over/Under barely saw any movement this week as it opened at 47 points at most sites and has come down slightly to 46.5 total points.
Free NFL Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Vikings -175
Minnesota is also looking for their 3rd straight victory after dropping 2 games in a row. The Vikings have looked better since their collapse against Buffalo 4 weeks ago. During that span, they played well against the Rams, defeated the Eagles, and beat the Cardinals. But, they did look inconsistent last weekend. It’s as if the Vikings play to the level of their competition instead of fulfilling their potential every time they step on the field.
With 6 games in the books, I believe this is the time of the season where good teams need to start winning the games they’re supposed to win. And, that means the Vikings need and should win this game against the Jets.
New York might average 27.5 ppg, but they’re only doing it on 354.7 total yards per game. The passing attack is in the bottom 1/3rd of the league at 224.3 ypg and the running game is near the top of the league at 130.3 ypg. However, Minnesota has a very stout run defense that only allows 92.8 ypg. That means the Jets are going to have a tough time running the ball, which could put more pressure on Darnold to have to beat the Vikings. If that’s the case then I like Minnesota’s chances.
The Vikings also struggle to run the ball as they only average 87.3 rushing yards per game. They’ve done most of their damage through the air with 320.2 ypg. Despite a few rough performances, Vikings QB Kirk Cousins has some solid numbers on the year at 1,921 yards, 12 TDs and 3 INTs. His counterpart Sam Darnold has 1,346 yards, 9 TDs and 7 INTs on the year. This passing duel heavily favors Cousins despite both teams giving up similar yards through the air at 290+.
There are two reasons why I’m going with the Vikings moneyline and not the spread. First, Minnesota has been inconsistent in regards to blowing out inferior teams. Second, they haven’t been great against the spread over the last few seasons and that concerns me. I don’t have confidence they will win by more than a FG, but I do have confidence they will win the game outright.
For example, the Vikings are 16-11 ATS as a Favorite over the last 3 years, but 19-8 SU during that span. The Vikings are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against the AFC, 11-3 SU after winning 2 or more games in a row, 17-6 SU when playing on turf, and 8-3 SU in their last 11 October games.
The Jets are 2-7 SU against the NFC in their last 9 games, 3-11 SU against teams with a winning record, 9-22 SU as an Underdog over the last few years, and 5-12 SU in their last 17 overall games.
I believe both defenses will play tough for most of the game, keeping it close. In the end, it should be Cousins’ experience that trumps Darnold’s youthfulness.
Bills Vs Jets Predictions
Vikings vs Jets Betting Recap:
- Oddsmaker: BetOnline
- Money lines: Vikings (-175) and Jets (+155)
- Spread: Vikings -3 (-127)
- Over/Under: 46.5 total points (-110)
- Prediction: Minnesota 27 – New York 24